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Research papers

Predicting levels of nuisance from traffic changes

There has been considerable interest, in recent years, in assessing the environmental effects of traffic. The purpose has been either to predict the impact of now roads and traffic management schemes or to identify those locations in most need of...

Catalogue: Papers 1982: Social Research And Prediction
Author: A. M. Mackie
June 15, 1982

Research papers

Forecasting transport markets

The remainder of this paper is concerned with describing briefly a number of exercises in which research technologies have been utilised in combination to assist in predicting consumer behaviour. Most, but not all are related to investment decisions....

Catalogue: Papers 1982: Social Research And Prediction
Author: David Hollings
June 15, 1982

Research papers

Consumer confidence, expenditure, and curtailment

In this study, we will analyze the data of the consumer surveys in The Netherlands, with help of principal component analysis. The derived components and the index of consumer sentiment are used as predictors of consumer expenditure, along with...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1982: Fitting Research To Turbulent Times
Authors: Willem Frederik van Raaij, Henk J. Gianotten
June 15, 1982

Research papers

Buying behaviour: A complex phenomenon transformation of panel data to relevant information

This paper is on buying behaviour and that is why it is based on panel data. The ultimate aim is to find buying behaviour scales which are good predictors of future behaviour. This study is a first step towards that goal. Buying behaviour crosses the...

Catalogue: Seminar 1982: The Effective Use Of Panels
Author: Coen C. J. de Koning
June 15, 1982

Research papers

Modelling consumer choice with cross-sectional data

This paper describes how the response of consumers to change may be predicted using techniques which integrate survey design and implementation with in-depth statistical analysis and modelling. The consumers may be personal consumers, or businesses;...

Catalogue: Papers 1982: Social Research And Prediction
Authors: Colin Dunn, John Raftery
June 15, 1982

Research papers

Using social surveys for prediction

This paper illustrates some of the ways in which sample survey data can be used to make predictions about aspects of society. It examines the use of data from continuous surveys to make short term predictions based on time series and the use of...

Catalogue: Papers 1982: Social Research And Prediction
Author: Frank E. Whitehead
June 15, 1982

Research papers

Revision of the social class concept

This paper summarizes the results of an investigation into the predictive power not only of social class but also of income and other socio-economic and demographic variables. Special attention is paid to the discriminatory value of these variables...

Catalogue: Seminar 1982: Classifying Consumers
Authors: Jean F. K. Dinjens, Jan Ligthart
June 15, 1982

Research papers

Classifying undecided voters in pre-election surveys

Due to the potential impact and significance of the undecideds and the widespread use of telephone surveys, it became imperative that an improved technique be developed which would result in a reliable forecast of the likely voting patterns of...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1982: Fitting Research To Turbulent Times
Authors: Frederick Wiseman, I. Fenwick, J. W. Becker, J. Heiman
June 15, 1982

Research papers

A little bit of the future from large analysis of the present

The article aims at showing that public opinion, if not 'lawful', at least shows certain regularities that can be utilized in predicting shifts in opinion change. The argument is based on a French nation wide survey replicated five times since 1977...

Catalogue: Papers 1982: Social Research And Prediction
Author: Alain Kling
June 15, 1982